Conviction-Based Capital Allocation | Cross-Asset Macro Strategy & Long-Term Investment Analysis
I manage a private multi-asset portfolio across ETFs, equities, and commodities, using a conviction-driven strategy grounded in macroeconomic research, technical confluence, and psychological discipline. My investment approach is structured around understanding cross-asset flows, global risk regimes, and capital allocation frameworks with a long-term orientation.
Note: All visuals and frameworks are illustrative and simplified for portfolio presentation purposes. They do not represent the full scope or execution specifics of my investment methodology.
Note: All visuals and frameworks are illustrative and simplified for portfolio presentation purposes. They do not represent the full scope or execution specifics of my investment methodology.
MACD - Momentum & Reversal Confluence
Used primarily for timing entries during mid- to late-stage trends. I rely on MACD divergence and histogram crossovers as confluence to larger structural breaks in momentum, particularly during major equity or gold rotations.
Aroon Oscillator – Market Phase Confirmation
Aroon is my go-to for identifying whether an asset is in consolidation or entering a defined bullish/bearish trend. It complements other lagging indicators and helps filter noise, especially in sideways conditions.
RSI – Overextension & Reversal Precision
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a core component of my short-to-mid-term execution framework. I use it not just to detect overbought or oversold conditions, but more importantly to observe momentum shifts, hidden divergences, and compression zones ahead of structural reversals. RSI, combined with volume and trend confluence, often signals when a move is nearing exhaustion — especially in high-leverage environments like ETFs or gold spot trading.
Behavioral Anchors – Fear, Greed & Sentiment Models
Investment psychology plays a central role in my long-term portfolio decisions. I often cross-reference the Crypto Fear & Greed Index and CNN’s sentiment models to assess whether market behavior is rational or euphoric. These inform risk-on/risk-off allocations.
Correlation Coefficients – Intermarket Analysis
Rather than relying solely on isolated signals, I analyze cross-asset correlations — especially between gold, ETFs, and forex markets — to identify macro shifts, asset rotation windows, and liquidity-driven breakouts. Correlation strength plays a key role in determining market phase and risk posture, particularly during volatility expansions or macro trend transitions.
Note: The indicator visuals below reflect my crypto-specific strength ratio models. Equity-related investment tools and methodologies are not publicly displayed.
Note: The indicator visuals below reflect my crypto-specific strength ratio models. Equity-related investment tools and methodologies are not publicly displayed.
Macro Events – Policy, Liquidity & Risk Posture
Macro catalysts such as FOMC meetings, quantitative easing/tightening cycles, inflation data, and liquidity reports guide my high-timeframe strategy. These inputs shape my macro narrative and define how aggressively I deploy capital into positions.
